The m-wallet transactions are likely to grow at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 160 percent to rise from just over half a billion in FY16 to 260 billion by FY22, says a study conducted jointly by trade body Assocham and business consulting firm RNCOS.
Growing usage of smartphones, mobile internet penetration, growth of e-commerce sector together with increasing disposable income will drive this growth.
It is anticipated that market value of m-wallet transactions in India will grow at a CAGR of over 200 percent to reach Rs 275 trillion by FY22 from Rs 206 billion in FY16.
The m-wallet transactions, in market value terms, have grown about 20 times to Rs 206 billion in FY16 from Rs 10 billion in FY13.
The mobile wallet market in India has been greatly benefited by demonetisation and its share in the total mobile payment volume transactions is likely to rise from 20 per cent in FY16 to 57 per cent by FY22.
Post-demonetisation, the average wallet spend for retail has witnessed huge jump, and is expected to increase from Rs 500-700 to Rs 2,000-10,000 in the near term.
The government has hinted of not remonetising all of the scrapped currency and aims to fill the gap by promoting digital / cashless payment mode, this is bound to boost prospects for m-wallet sector in India.
Post demonetisation, the mobile payment transaction volume in India is likely to grow at a CAGR of over 130 per cent to reach 460 billion by FY22 from just about three billion in FY16.
Mobile payment transactions in value terms are likely to cross Rs 2,200 trillion mark by FY22 from just over Rs 8 trillion in FY16 thereby clocking a CAGR of 150 percent.
Share of mobile banking segment in mobile payment market is likely to register significant increase from eight percent in FY14 to 56 percent in FY17.
It is a challenge for the sector to bring copious number of shoppers preferring cash on delivery (COD) and other modes of payment on m-wallet platform.
However, with the ease of payment along with other benefits offered by m-wallets, users preferring COD will switch to the m-payment platform in the coming years.
Companies operating in the mobile-wallet sector should take measures like providing effective, completely secure, private and reliable services, 3-D or OTP (one time password) security options, data back-up system and others to spread awareness among people.