M2M connections will grow from one billion in 2010
to 12 billion in 2020, of which 2.3 billion will be wireless wide area network
connections. Mobile network operators can expect to take EUR40 billion of the
EUR714 billion M2M market in 2020, according to Machina Research.
M2M
is as diverse as the business sectors that it serves. Each and every one of the
hundreds of applications that we’ve analysed has different dynamics. It’s only
by looking at each application individually that you can hope to either
forecast the market opportunity, as we have, or address the connectivity
requirements, as the throngs of device manufacturers, service providers,
network operators and systems integrators will hope to do,” said report author
Jim Morrish.
Global
M2M connections will increase from one billion at the end of 2010 to 12 billion
at the end of 2020, accounting for half of all global data connections.
Connections will be dominated by two sectors: consumer electronics (including
cameras, music players and TVs) and intelligent buildings (e.g. security and
HVAC systems).
Over
70 percent of M2M devices will be connected by short-range technologies, mostly
WiFi. Of the remainder, wireless cellular technologies dominate. When
considering solely cellular connections, the most important applications
sectors are Utilities (principally smart metering) and Automotive (including
pay-as-you-drive insurance, emergency/eCall and security and tracking).
Between
them they will account for over 60percent of the total. By 2020 Europe will be the
biggest region for M2M, accounting for 28 percent of connections. The biggest
single markets will be the China and the US with 21 percent and 20 percent
respectively.
At
the end of 2010 M2M accounted for 2 percent of cellular connections. By 2020
this will reach 19 percent, or 2.3 billion connections.
M2M
revenue will grow from EUR91 billion in 2010 to EUR714 billion in 2020, a CAGR
of 22.9 percent. Europe is again the dominant region, generating revenue of
over EUR200 billion in 2020. The US is the largest individual country with over
EUR150 billion revenue, followed by China with over EUR110 billion.
The
addressable revenue opportunity for mobile network operators (MNOs) will be
EUR210 billion in 2020, of which Machina Research expects them to take EUR40
billion if they have an effective M2M strategy.
The
amount of revenue that will be generated simply from playing the role of
bit-pipe will be much more modest at EUR4 billion, reflecting the relatively
small amounts of traffic generated by most M2M connections. In total just 800PB
of data will be generated by M2M in 2020, less than 2 percent of total mobile
data traffic.
By
Telecomlead.com Team
[email protected]
